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bstar.gif (921 bytes) San Francisco Politics bstar.gif (921 bytes)

lstar.gif (869 bytes)Governor Davis Recall #2lstar.gif (869 bytes)  

ByEllie Schafer

California Governor Gray Davis may soon join an elite club; the only thing is he may not want to be a member!  Only one other Governor in history has ever been successfully recalled and that was North Dakota Governor Lynn Joseph Frazier in the early 1920’s.

 

Secretary of State Kevin Shelley announced a group called Rescue California qualified enough signatures to recall troubled Governor Gray Davis.  Legally they needed 897,158 valid signatures and the group turned in 1.6 million signatures with over 1.3 million of them being valid.  Lt. Governor Cruz Bustamante has set Election Day from Tuesday, October 7, 2004.

 

SO HOW DOES THIS WORK?  The ballot will list two questions.  The first question is “yes” or “no” to recall Gov. Davis.  Voters will then choose from a list of candidates to replace him.

 

Just exactly who is going to run is the much bigger question.  Rep. Darrell Issa has funded much of the recall effort in hopes of running for Governor.  Republican insiders have problems with Issa because of his conservative ideology as well as his past arrest record for car theft and other violations.  Much has been made of popular actor Arnold Schwarzenegger and his possible run.  The Terminator 3 star has stated he would like to run for Governor but won’t make an announcement until after his is done promoting his new movie.  Popular former LA Mayor Richard Riordan has also expressed interest in running.  Riordan and Schwarzenegger have also agreed not to run against each other in order to give the Republicans a stronger chance to be California’s next CEO.

 

On the other side of the isle, Major Democrats have denounced the recall effort and say they don’t support it.  Democratic Nation Committee Chairman Terry McAuliffe recently met with major CA Dem office holders attempting to keep them from announcing their candidacy in hopes voters will not like the choices the Republicans offer and will vote “No” on the recall effort. 

 

Will that happen- no one knows.  There has been much talk about Lt. Governor Cruz Bustamante, Attorney General Bill Lockyer and actor/activist Rob Reiner eyeing California’s top seat.  Some were even looking forward to a Reiner/Schwarzenegger (or Meat Head/Terminator) match-up. 

 

Leading the pack for the Dems, as well as in the polls, is moderate Senator Dianne Feinstein.  She is the most popular elected official in the state and has attempted to run for the seat before.  She lost to Davis in the Dem primary after Davis ran ads comparing Feinstein to hated hotel vixen Leona Hemsley...so as you can imagine, there is no love lost between Feinstein and Davis.

 

Should Feinstein announce her candidacy Davis’ fate would somewhat lie with Senator Feinstein.  Anyone wondering if Davis is rethinking that ad now? Additionally, if Feinstein wins the Governor seat, she would be able to appoint her Senate successor and lock the seat for Dems for the rest of her term.  Should that happen, essentially the Republicans would have set up a scenario in which they replaced the weakest and least popular Democrat with the strongest and most popular Democrat.

 

And where is San Francisco is all of this?  There are both a Mayor’s race and a District Attorney’s race slated for Election Day on November 4…just a few weeks after the recall election.  Voters in San Francisco can expect to be bombarded with Vote by Mail campaign literature and telephone calls for both the recall and the various local races.  Campaign staffers are nervous about the potential for confusion about voting and are tinkering with strategy as we read.

 

The race for SF Mayor has significantly tightened and according to the latest poll and it seems Treasurer Susan Leal is moving up fast.  Among the highlights from this poll of 550 likely city voters is that Leal moved from 2% up to 14%.  She is in double digits and within striking distance of the leading candidates.  Though frontrunner Gavin Newsom still leads, he has dropped sharply to 27%, followed by Supervisor Tom Ammiano at 21% and former Supervisor Angela Alioto at 19%.

 

The campaigns of mayoral hopeful Susan Leal and would-be District Attorney Kamala Harris received a much-needed boost Monday night with the overwhelming endorsement of the Alice B. Toklas LGBT Democratic Club, The City's largest partisan political club.  Leal captured 69 percent of the Alice vote and Supervisor Gavin Newsom came in second with about 25 percent.  The Leal endorsement marks the first time the powerful organization has backed a gay candidate for mayor, having been solidly behind Mayor Willie Brown during his 1999 historical race against write-in candidate Ammiano, who is gay.

 

It’s still early and with the Davis recall as well as good ‘ole San Francisco politics, we have learned that in San Francisco politics…anything can happen.

 

Ellie Schafer is a contributing writer to PurePolitics.com and has been featured in USA Today, CNN's Inside Politics, The New York Times and has been a regular guest on the Fox Radio "Kiley and Booms" show as well as other national and local media

Other Columns by Ellie:  Only in San Francisco Election 2002 Preview, Election 2002 Recap, Davis Recall

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