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bstar.gif (921 bytes) San Francisco Politics bstar.gif (921 bytes)

lstar.gif (869 bytes)Governor Davis Recall?lstar.gif (869 bytes)  

ByEllie Schafer

California Governor Gray Davis may soon join an elite club.  Only one other Governor in history has ever been successfully recalled and that was North Dakota Governor Lynn Joseph Frazier in the early 1920’s.

 

A group called Rescue California hopes to repeat history and have turned in 1.6 million signatures to County officials across the state of California in order to recall troubled Governor Gray Davis.  Legally they need 897,158 valid signatures so the group will turn in almost twice as many signatures than they actually need.

 

Supporters of the Governor filed a lawsuit against the signatures in hopes of preventing the recall citing illegalities in the Republican-led petition drive, including the use of signature gatherers who were not registered to vote in California.  However, even Davis supporters admit that a recall election is inevitable.  The question is, when and who?

 

WHEN? Supporters of the recall are pushing for November in hopes of capitalizing on an off-year Republican-heavy turnout. Legal battles could delay the election from November to March of 2004 when it will benefit Davis because of heavy Demo turnout for the presidential primary.  We will find that out towards the end of August when the signatures validation process is complete.

 

WHO?  This is the much bigger question.  Rep. Darrell Issa has funded much of the recall effort in hopes of running for Governor.  Republican insiders have problems with Issa because of his conservative ideology as well as his past arrest record for car theft and other violations.  Much has been made of popular actor Arnold Schwarzenegger and his possible run.  The Terminator 3 star has stated he would like to run for Governor but won’t make an announcement until after his is done promoting his new movie Terminator 3.  Schwarzenegger has made noise about running before and is extremely popular in the state that loves loves loves its movie stars.  Former Governor and Former President Ronald Regan as well as current state Senate Powerhouse Sheila Kuehl are among some of more popular officials who have also had previous careers in acting.

 

On the other side of the isle, Major Democrats have denounced the recall effort and say they don’t support it, however if the recall happens they will have to put up a candidate whether they want to or not.  There has been much talk about Lt. Governor Cruz Bustamante, Attorney General Bill Lockyer and actor/activist Rob Reiner.  Some were even looking forward to a Reiner/Schwarzenegger (or Meat Head/Terminator as they like calling it here) match-up.  However, leading the pack for the Dems as well as in the polls is popular moderate Senator Dianne Feinstein.  She is the most popular elected official in the state and has attempted to run for the seat before (she lost to Davis in the Dem primary).  Should Feinstein run, she would be able to appoint her successor and lock the seat for Dems for the rest of her term.  Should that happen, essentially the Republicans would have set up a scenario where they replaced the weakest and least popular Democrat with the strongest and most popular Democrat and essentially, spent a lot of money to help the Democratic Party keep its lock on the statewide offices.  But of course as we have all learned, anything can happen in California politics.

 

Ellie Schafer is a contributing writer to PurePolitics.com and has been featured in USA Today, CNN's Inside Politics, The New York Times and has been a regular guest on the Fox Radio "Kiley and Booms" show as well as other national and local media

Other Columns by Ellie:  Only in San Francisco Election 2002 Preview, Election 2002 Recap

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